Experts argue that the Fed decision will affect the ruble
Many economists have
a few weeks assert that
Fed from tightening monetary policy
affected emerging market currencies,
and one of the most vulnerable currencies will
Russian ruble. But if the rate is not
will increase, investors will wake up again
risk appetite, analysts said.
During the last
three days advantageously Ruble
strengthened against the dollar and the euro, although its
and several steps were cautious
anticipation of the Fed meeting. Last night
Russian national currency exchange rate confidently
increased - due to high ruble
rates approaching the peak of tax
period and the expectations of the Fed's decision on
the base rate. Ruble went yesterday to
two-week highs: the dollar
It fell to 65.31 rubles, euro -. to 73.84 rubles.
Today to 11:24 MSK pair USD / RUB
trading at
65,51, EUR / RUB -
at the level of 74.23.
Some experts believe
that the increase in rates in the US soon
stabilize the ruble than weaken again
him. A decision on the rate the Federal
Reserve should announce
today at 21:00 MSK. But,
investors have revised their
projections, and therefore "if the bid is
increased, the markets of developing countries
and their currencies will react negatively -
will fall currencies and assets, "- he says
Chief Expert of the Center for Economic
Forecasting Gazprombank Egor
Susin.
What else predict
Russian experts?
Because of the uncertainty
by the decision of the Fed Russian market froze
waiting - investors refrain
from open positions, says analyst
"KIT Finance Broker» Anna Ustinova.
Raising rates does not
will have no pressure on the ruble and
Russian debt market, says
head of the Directorate of the debt markets
"Uralsib Capital" Dmitry Dudkin.
On the other hand, Igor
Nikolaev, director of the Institute of Strategic
FBK analysis assured that the Russian
economy in general rate increase
threatens to weaken the national currency and
additional economic
problems - inflation, shortfall
revenue (especially budgetary)
decrease in investment opportunities.
Dmitry Miroshnichenko,
Head of expert-analytical
management "MosFinAgency"
believes that the rate will not touch: "In general,
on the impact of rates - the dollar will fall in price and
oil will rise in price. Of course,
well it affects the Russian ruble. "
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