Wednesday, February 1, 2017

Statistic Trader Demo

Statistic Trader Demo

Expert statistic Trader Demo - free version of the expert statistic Trader with less flexible set of options.

series experts statistic Trader - This trading strategy based two ideas: the idea of ​​the probability of an event and the idea of ​​money management.

The idea of ​​money management:

deter aggressive money management methods, such as doubling the position
after a loss, due to the fact that a series of losses can become so long that
a trader can not open another position and lose all or most of the
deposit. But definitely give up the opportunity in the next transaction
recover losses and make a profit is not worth. If kept under control
the risks and try to eliminate the too long series of losses, then this tactic
It may be a viable and profitable for small controlled drawdown.
Sometimes - even allow you to display in a profit strategy, which at constant
the size of the deal would be unprofitable.

Statistic Trader allows
set the size of the lots for a series of ten transactions. The trader has the ability to
adjust the aggressiveness of capital management in its sole discretion, with
I am counting on the fact that knowing the statistics and missed the first losing trades, he
Do not get too long series of actual losses.

Tips for setting up an expert:

  1. Opt for a currency pair and define its
    the average daily volatility. For example, I chose a pair of euro-dollar. its average
    day volatility of 70 pips.
  2. Install Take Profit in the amount of average daily
    Volatility (pip 70) and Stop Loss in 2-fold
    less (35 pips).
  3. Testing a strategy on the history of at least
    three months. Determined by the average number of consecutive losing trades in such
    sizes Take Profit and Stop Loss. For example, it is equal to 3. concludes
    that before opening the real deal, it is necessary to wait for three consecutive losses.
    Install N = 3
    in Expert settings (i.e., skip 3 consecutive loss).
  4. My approach to capital management -
    receive a transaction (a series of transactions) from 0.5 to 1% of the deposit. In case one or
    several consecutive losing trades, at least - to play the resulting loss. I
    I adjust the size of the lots series as follows:

    Step 1: Lot 1, Step 2: Lot 1, third
    Step: 2 lots, 4th step: Lot 3, Step 5: 4 lots, 6th step: Lots 6, 7 th step: 9 lots,
    Step 8: 9 lots, the 9th step: 9 lots, the 10th step: 9 lots.

Not difficult to calculate that, after receiving
profit on one of the first seven steps, I played obtained before the loss and
I get a small profit. At the same time a drawdown even after 5 consecutive losses will
no more than 4% of the deposit, after 7 consecutive losses - about 9% after 10 -
about 15%. It is no longer, and maybe even less than that of some strategies not
using the increase in the volume of the transaction after the loss. If testing
History has shown that the maximum length of a series of losing trades was 10
and it was only 1 time in a year, then we can hope that, skipping 3-4 loss
in a row, the maximum will still 6-7 losing trades in a row, and the probability of this
It will be very low. Basically, profit is the first or second transaction
after missing several virtual loss.

Another more conservative option:
Step 1: Lot 1, 2nd step: Lot 1, Step 3: Lot 2, Step 4: Lot 3, Step 5: 4
item, the 6th step (starting from the beginning): Lot 1, Step 7: Lot 1, Step 8: 2 Lot 9 minutes
Step: 3 lots, 10-Step: 4 lots. In this case, if losing a series of tightened
than 5 steps, it is possible to let them go back to the original size
capital, but do not lose more than 5%. 

the selection parameters can independently determine not only
TakeProfit and StopLoss size and the throughput of transactions, but also
select a currency pair and timeframe,
the most appropriate at any given time, as well as set size
lots to
series. Between pronounced trend movement or before exiting
News you can reduce the number of transactions skipped. During the period
the flat - increase.

The signals to open positions:

Since this strategy is based on probability, not
It is of fundamental importance for the selection indicator of position opening. I
I opted for the indicator Parabolic SAR, the standard for MT4. signal for the
purchase (LONG)
It is the intersection of the price indicator up signal for short sale (SHORT) - crossing indicator cost down.
closing a position - when the level of Take Profit and Stop Loss.

I emphasize again: Signal selection for input does not matter, it is
verified by testing all standard and many other indicators that
It showed nearly identical results. The main thing - the ratio of the size of TakeProfit and StopLoss,
which determines the regularity of their occurrence, even with random trading

Features of work:

When you run the expert
It creates a global variable Start, in which the start time is saved
session. At the conclusion of the expert (when achieved profit) is created
global variable Stop. To start a new session after taking profit need
remove from the chart expert and remove the corresponding global variables Start
and Stop (call list of global variables - key F3, or the tab "Tools - Global Variables" in
merchant terminal). With the new launch of the expert will start a new job again
create first Start, then Stop. Such a scheme is implemented for the organization
stable operation in a variety of failures, outages due, and reboots

(With different UID and Magic) can be used
on several currency pairs or single, with different settings.

expert settings:

Basic parameters:

  • N = 0 (the number of consecutive losing trades, which will bring the real deal. If N = 0, the first deal is real)
  • Lots_1 = 0.1 (1 volume order step lots)
  • Lots_2 = 0.2 (volume of orders in lots 2 steps), etc. for a series of 10 steps
  • Lots_3 = 0.3
  • Lots_4 = 0.4
  • Lots_5 = 0.5
  • Lots_6 = 0.6
  • Lots_7 = 0.7
  • Lots_8 = 0.8
  • Lots_9 = 0.9
  • Lots_10 = 1.0
  • Slippage_ = 3 (maximum deviation from quoted price at opening and closing market positions)
  • SL_ = 35 (StopLoss in pips)
  • TP_ = 70 (Take Profit in pips)

The demo version of the default expert works in the period of 1 hour, with the parameters of Parabolic SAR indicator: Step = 0.02 (level indicator stop increments) and Maximum = 0.2 (maximum stop level indicator). In the full version by testing and optimizing, you can select the optimal time frame for the work.

Also in the demo default expert parameters are specified UID = 1 and Magic = 123. The full version of the experts (with different UID and Magic) can be used simultaneously on several currency pairs or alone, but with different settings. Thus, the trader receives a set of experts that are optimized for different currency pairs and timeframes.

Statistic Trader Demo

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