Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Week for ruble went into red What

Week for the ruble went into the red. What will happen next?

Last week the ruble
It was a difficult, amid desheveyuschey
Oil Russian currency was unable to
withstand the impact. By the end of trading on Friday
ruble fell to 64 rubles. the dollar and 70.2 rubles.
per euro. Stable situation
on the Russian foreign exchange market as soon as
oil prices fall, the ruble is running for
after them. The week started with marks
61.42 in the pair USD / RUB and
66.96 in the pair EUR / RUB. AND
we all saw what it was over. TO
the beginning of trading on Monday, August 10,
the dollar went up in the world market
to the level of 64.503 rubles, and the euro -. to 70.634
rub.


In fact, all movement
ruble pass without any
unexpected or important messages, but
even in the US session on Friday
The situation has not changed much. Dollar,
By the way, only briefly strengthened in
Friday when they announced new data
on the labor market, is now the EUR / USD
trading on the Asian
session between 1.0966 to 9:25 MSK. Oil
Brent - at
at $ 49.06
per barrel, WTI - $ 43,66
a barrel.


According to the forecast of analysts
Danske Bank, the second half of the year for the ruble
It is savory. "The current economic
The situation does not improve
the prospects of the Russian currency. we
still we expect further decline
ruble and raise a pair of forecast
dollar / ruble for three months from 60 to 64 rubles.
for six months - from 63 to 66 rubles. A year later, on
We estimate that the dollar will rise to 70
rub."- said in their report.


Bank experts expect
that will increase the demand for currency due
the need for foreign debt payments,
although this, too, is nothing new - we
already seen that in these times of market
sometimes, not weak "storm". Besides,
the fall of the Bank of Russia may begin again
currency repo auctions
for one year, in some extent,
can support the ruble.


At the moment, the fall
rubles due to a greater extent with
falling oil and no panic
Closeouts not accompanied.
Credit-default swaps are traded
stable, and because of additional
pressure on the Russian currency is not
have.



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